Jump to content

Talk:Zeyzoun Dam

Page contents not supported in other languages.
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Hindsight bias in this article?

[edit]

Some days ago I ran across the phenomenon of hindsight bias and I've been wondering whether this bias could also be present in this article... The hindsight bias delineates that in retrospect it is overestimated how likely, foreseeable and/or inevitable an event is perceived, and obviously a study has found it even in Wikipedia articles on catastrophes/accidents: doi:10.1007/s00426-017-0865-7 In this respect I wondered whether that could be the case with this article, too, and whether the disaster is presented as more foreseeable and inevitable than it actually was before. Maybe we should search again for information that would have spoken against the disaster. Obviously, the hindsight bias results from a retrospective focusing on information that argue FOR the event while ignoring or not taking seriously information that argued AGAINST the event (or: for another outcome), which then, naturally, leads to the impression of inevitability and foreseeablitity... So I wondered whether this article might be affected by hindsight bias as well and should be therefore be checked again for this?--2A02:810D:1300:38E5:64FF:4320:ABEE:49DE (talk) 19:36, 4 December 2019 (UTC)[reply]